Tuesday, May 10, 2016

Marathon Percentages

I came across this in Runner's World magazine (Page 88, May, 2016). It seemed like a good application for a math class. It had the percentage of women in the field of the Boston Marathon. It seemed like it was something close to a linear relationship. Here is the data:

Year          # Women          # Men          % of Women

1966          1                      415               0.3%
1972          8                      1,210            0.7%
1980          237                  3,428            6.5%
1990          1,434               6,516            18.0%
2000          5,469               10,199          34.9%
2010          9,560               13,161          42.1%
2015          12,018             14,580          45.2%

I tried it out on an on-line calculator. First it is years vs. percentage of women. I used the point (0,0.3), (6,0.7), (14,6.5), etc.

The best fit was a linear equation of y = 1.0232x-3.8943. It had a correlation of 0.9866, so pretty good. I graphed it and perhaps some kind of logistic growth model perhaps some kind of logistics growth model might be a little better. The rate of increase of the percentages is starting to fall off a little.

I wasn't going to do this, but for fun I graphed years vs. number of women. It looked fairly parabolic. After plugging them in - (0,1,), (6,8), etc. I got the best fit to be:

y = 0.3888x^2.5833 with a correlation of 0.9751.

So, some interesting applications could be looked at from Algebra I through Advanced Math.